Posts Tagged ‘s&p 500’
Buying the Dip in ES, YM and NQ Futures
The election volatility in the S&P 500, DOW, Nasdaq and Russell markets continue, with day trading opportunities setting up.
Today, we had an opportunity to buy the dip in the ES, YM and NQ futures. Similar to yesterday, there were 2 winners and 1 loser.
P/L (2 contracts):
1. S&P 500 (/ES) Futures: +24 points, +$1,200
2. Nasdaq (/NQ) Futures: -50 points, -$1,000
3. DOW (/YM) Futures: +190 points, +$950
Well discuss all 3 trades that setup today, including the winners and losers.
For those
Read MoreDay Trading Futures Volatility – ES, NQ, YM, RTY
We had two different trade setups trigger today, in our 4 major indices markets. With elections coming closer, volatility has been creeping back into the index markets.
Our first setup was based on the market internals, specifically the Cumulative TICK. We had our Cumulative TICK Pro indicator alert us that we should expect a trending up market by 7am PT, 30 minutes after the market open.
Using that information, the SPY 345 Call was worth $2.00 at the point of entry, and close to ~$3.19 at it
Read MoreStimulus Update Volatility – Futures & Stock Trade Setups
In today’s video we’re going to talk about the volatility we saw in the markets, as a result of Trump’s tweets, stating that stimulus negotiations were going to be pushed till post-election.
This was something the market did not expect, and we saw that reflected in the price action. Across the board, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, DOW, Russell, 30-YR Bond, Energies, you name it — almost all major markets saw a volatile reaction to this news.
This ended up becoming our catalyst for both futures and stoc
Read MoreS&P 500 (/ES) – Buy the Dip Futures Setup
We had several “Buy the Dip” setup opportunities in our futures markets, towards the final few hours of the close.
Our first setup which we’ll discuss in today’s video was in the /ES (S&P 500) futures. We had an opportunity to buy the dip, and go long the /ES futures markets. This trade was good for 10.25 points in the /ES futures, which resulted in a gain of $512.50/contract.
Our second setup was in the RTY futures (Russell 2K), which was similar, but fell short of our target by 0.4 ticks. Ul
Read MoreSPY Gap Fill With Cumulative TICK Data (OTM Put Debit Spread)
Similar to last week, we’re going to continue using the Cumulative TICKs to find clues around what to expect in the S&P 500 for tomorrow.
With the close today, we had our Cumulative TICK Pro indicator suggesting that we had a likely bullish trend exhaustion. Typically, this is met with a reversal the next day. We had something similar set up last Thursday, with a bearish trend exhaustion signal, and saw a nice rally to close on Friday.
We’ll use this data and observation to build a trade in S
Read MoreSPY Bullish Reversal Trade Results (100%+ Winner)
We set up a game plan for trades in SPY, along with the futures and stock markets via our Volatility Box in yesterday’s video. Today, we’ll take a look at the results to see what happened.
We expected for the markets to open down lower, and then start to trend bullishly for the rest of the day. This was based off of our backtesting of the Cumulative TICK data, that we did in our pro version of the tutorial (free for Volatility Box members, available here: https://www.tosindicators.com/indicato
Read MoreBullish Reversal Trade Idea in SPY – Market Internals Data
The Cumulative TICK Pro signaled to us to expect a likely bearish trend exhaustion with today’s activity. We’ll use this information to create a game plan for tomorrow’s trading.
Specifically, I’m looking for the bearish trend that we had into the final hours of the market to halt, and reverse into tomorrow. Below, you’ll find a brief game plan that is expanded upon more in tonight’s video.
➡️ WHAT WE’RE EXPECTING:
A bullish reversal, after a morning decline. The Cumulative TICKs suggested t
Cumulative TICK and Volatility Ranges – Day Trading /ES Futures
We had both trend and fade opportunities that set up in the S&P 500 futures (/ES), for high probability trades.
With the morning gap down lower, we had the TICKs consistently signaling selling action. This was easy to see via the Cumulative TICK indicator, with the pro version signaling that we should expect to see a likely trending down move.
Shortly after the notification at 7:00am PT, we had a pullback to our Market Pulse line, giving us a better place to start building a position with ETF
Read MoreTriple Witching Friday – 20 Year Data Analysis
In today’s video, we’re going to a data deep dive into the concept of Triple Witching Fridays.
Specifically, we’ll look at 20 years worth of data, narrowing in on only the Triple Witching Friday’s, to get an idea of what we should expect, headed into tomorrow. We’ll go back to September 2000, and observe patterns, and average percent change moves in the SPY, QQQ, DIA, and IWM.
For those that are unaware, Triple Witching Friday’s are nothing more than the 3rd Friday in 4 separate months. Thes
Read MoreTrading Futures in the Final Hour
The final hour of the markets today gave us multiple opportunities to buy the dip, and catch some quick reversals in the indices.
We had a breach in the S&P 500 (/ES), Nasdaq (/NQ), DOW (/YM) and the Russell 2000 (/RTY). All 4 of these breaches respected our Volatility Box models, and gave some incredible reversal opportunities.
In addition to the indices, we also had breaches in Natural Gas (/NG), which was successful, along with Gold (/GC). The only market in which we went outside of our vo
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