Volatility Box Trade Examples

Longer Term Setup in CORNIn tonight’s video, we build out a trade in Corn, based off of a few factors: The full article is available here on CropProphet, and is well worth the read (especially if you plan to look at CORN or /ZC as a position on your books). After having a core theme…

Playing Pence’s Comments Conservatively In tonight’s video, we talk about the trades that set up in the 30-Year Bonds and Gold Futures. Unfortunately, we didn’t see the follow through we were hoping for in Gold, and the Bonds ended up stopping us out to the tick. We talk about a slight variation using the Volatility…

Stock Volatility Box – Beta In tonight’s video, we give you a sneak preview into a tool that we’re building, that lets you have the power of the Volatility Box available for stocks. In particular today, we’ll look at ANTM, OC and SPLK – some had earnings as catalysts, some moved without earnings-related volatility. Using…

Fading the RTY Futures In tonight’s video, we talk about the trades that set up in the RTY and ZB futures. On the RTY futures, something interesting happened. While the full-size contract gave us both a first and second target, the micro-futures contract only gave you your first target. Either way, you were profitable –…

Announcements & Trades Over the weekend, we announced that we had added one additional futures ticker to our Volatility Box: Copper Futures – /HG on ThinkOrSwim On days like today, where the indices are rather quiet, copper offers us another market where we can look at for opportunity. It’s proven to be more volatile on…

Buying the Dips in the Indices We had volatility that entered the markets, without any real warning. There weren’t any major news events or reports. It was just another, typical Friday. The Nasdaq (NQ) futures indicated to us early on in the day that they were the more volatile of the index group today. While…

Shorting the 30-Yr Bonds on Increased Volatility We had only one trade that set up today, which was a short in the 30-Year Bond Futures (/ZB). Shortly after our entry, price action continued to drift higher, piercing the clouds of the Volatility Box. We were spared by 1 tick, which is unusual compared to our…

What Happened With UAL Earnings? Yesterday, we created a game plan around trading United Airline’s earnings (UAL). We said, if UAL gapped up, then probabilities suggest that UAL tends to continue in the same direction for an average of ~$2.01, or to the nearest V-Score standard deviation at $90.33. UAL did just that today. We…

Planning for Upcoming Earnings (NFLX, IBM, etc.) Yesterday, we created a game plan around trading United Health’s earnings (UNH). We said, if UNH gapped up, then probabilities suggest that UNH tends to continue in the same direction for an average of ~$4.35. UNH did just that today – and we ended up continuing in the…

Preparing For GS, UAL and UNH Earnings In tonight’s video, we discuss repeating patterns and tendencies in tickers that are reporting earnings tomorrow.  Over the last two years:   Below are some price targets, based on if the pattern that tends to happen repeats itself, and we get a move in the direction towards our…

Competing With the Trading Algos In tonight’s video, we talk about the trades that set up in the ES, NQ, YM and ZB futures, after we had news hit the market of a “Phase 1 Trade War Deal” with China.  The Conservative Volatility Box helps us adjust to this news-driven volatility market, that we are…

In tonight’s video, we talk about the lack of volatility that we saw in the markets today, and the earnings trade in Delta Air Lines (DAL) based off of “Gap Fills” information.  Based off the afternoon open yesterday, and the burst of volatility we saw in the first 30 minutes of trading today, we expected…

Trading Crude Oil Futures Using the Inventories Report In tonight’s video, we talk about a potential earnings play in Delta Air Lines (DAL) and discuss the short in crude oil after the inventories report.  For DAL, we have the following stats using our Smarter Earnings tool: Over the last 2 years, DAL has gapped up…

Executing On Yesterday’s Game Plan In tonight’s video, we talk about how we followed the game plan we had laid out for our members in yesterday’s video. With another day of Powell + China related news, we had two near perfect short entries in the ES and NQ futures, while the YM futures were an almost…

Fading The Indices on China News  In tonight’s video, we talk about the trades that set up across the board in all four indices, on the China news that hit the market.  Our first trade was a winner across the board, but our second trade forced us to give back some of our profits. Despite…

Weekly P/L: +$2,190 In tonight’s video, we talk about the trade that set up in the CL futures. We sent out a note to all Volatility Box members last night, alerting everyone that we would be using the Conservative Volatility Box today, in anticipation of any additional volatility around scheduled events. Turns out, that helped…

The Nasdaq Joins the Russell As a Hero In tonight’s video, we talk about the trades that setup in the ES, YM, NQ, RTY and ZB futures. We had a burst of volatility after the non-manufacturing PMI numbers came out, in which some of our market survived, while others didn’t.  The Nasdaq was one hero,…

The Russell (RTY) Gives Us Near Perfect Entries In tonight’s video, we talk about the trades that setup in the RTY, ES, YM, ZB and CL futures (Inventories Report).  The Russell was the unsung hero of today’s trading, giving us four really nice entries using the Aggressive Volatility Box, helping us profit +$1,850. We had…

Using the Volatility Box For Information In tonight’s video, we cover two different sets of trades.   First, we had the PMI numbers (< 50), come out, giving us the opportunity to use the Conservative Volatility Box to see if we got a bounce. Unfortunately, our fade trades across the board were stopped out, some…

Join Us for the Trader’s Symposium 2019 In tonight’s video, we cover the one trade that set up in the crude oil futures, towards the end of the day.   We had an opportunity to buy the dip in crude, giving us a near perfect entry (4 cents from the low of the day)! We also discuss…

Join Us for the Trader’s Symposium 2019 In tonight’s video, we cover the trades that took setup as a result of the news event of the “White House weighing limits on portfolio flows into China.” The key word to pay attention to is “weighing.”  That’s what gave us permission (and confidence) to buy the dips…