Volatility Box Trade Examples

Volatility Trades in Tech Stocks and Futures (Sept. 2, 2020)

We had the Nasdaq futures break outside of our Doomsday Conservative (our most conservative) volatility models within the first 30 minute after market open. With that same downfall, we had a group of tech stocks all hit our Stock Volatility Box Live Scanner, giving us plenty of opportunities to look for fade trade setups.

In today’s video, we’ll discuss both stock and futures trades, along with ways to overlap the Stock and Futures Volatility Boxes to work in congruence. With Nasdaq breaking ou

RNG Options Trades Winner Follow Up (Stock Up +9%)

On August 30, 2020, we set up 4 different options trades in Ring Central (RNG), looking for a bullish move to $320.

We were looking at the September series options with 19 DTE, but got the move much sooner in less than 2 days. In today’s video, we’ll do a follow up on picking smart targets, along with an update to the option’s pricing to gauge which strategy was most effective.

The 4 trades that we had set up were:
1 – Long Call ($4.90 now worth $14.90)
2 – Long Call Debit Spread ($3.00 now w

4 Options Trade Ideas in Ring Central (RNG)

In today’s video, I’d like to focus on one stock, which I think has some trade opportunities setting up. We’ll spend some time evaluating the stock chart on a daily time frame, along with its option’s chain.

The stock that we’ll be taking a look at is Ring Central — they started by making the video doorbell, and have expanded their line of offering to a suite of security, and some even non-security applications now.

That’s to say – their product line has been gradually expanding, and I woul

3 Real Estate ETFs Ripe for Momentum Moves

In today’s video, we’ll spend some time going through the Squeeze Signals scan results, to try and find clusters of stocks/ETFs in the same sector.

The Squeeze Signals indicator is an indicator which helps us to combine the power of the Triple Pro Squeeze, along with patterns that usually tend to lead to some nice momentum-burst type movements. We build this indicator as part of the Triple Squeeze Course (free for Volatility Box members): https://www.tosindicators.com/squeeze-course

With toda

High Short Interest Near 52 Week Highs (thinkScript)

Build a simple scan in which to find stocks that are near their 52 week highs, that ALSO have high short interest.

Stocks Likely to Trend Tomorrow

In today’s video, we’ll walk you through the Nightly Trending List, which contains stocks we think are likely to trend for tomorrow.

This list contains a group of stocks, usually 3-6, that our models suggest are likely to trend for the next day. These are stocks that have closed within our Volatility Box zones, and we expect either the buying or selling pressure to continue the next day.

Tonight, we’ll also layer on a high-level option’s chain analysis, using Open Interest and Probability of

Day Trading Futures Through FOMC Minutes Volatility

The release of the FOMC Minutes served as our catalyst for volatility in the futures market place today, leading to 7 futures day trades.

In today’s video, we’ll discuss all 7 of those trades, walking through all of the breaches and setups. Most of our trades today came in the 11-12p PT hour (when the FOMC minutes were released), which led to a burst of volatility in the marketplace.

Outside of the indices and 30-YR bond, we also had futures volatility trades that set up in markets like Crud

MSFT Fibonacci Levels and Stock Volatility Trades

We’re going to talk about 3 different stock topics in this video:

1 – Microsoft (MSFT) fib zones update, with new levels for entry, along with potential target zones
2 – Bullish short squeeze trade opportunity in PAGS
3 – Review of 3 Stock Volatility Box trades in ADSK, DDOG and GMAB

With MSFT, we’ve seen a pullback into the Fibonacci levels on this entire recovery move up, and we’re looking for a similar continuation of trend to the 1.618% extension.

In PAGS, we have a squeeze that looks l

Morning Volatility Clues for ES, YM and RTY

In today’s video, we’re going to use our first hour Volatility Box test to find clues around what to expect for the rest of the day.

Today, we saw that the 30-YR Bond Futures (/ZB) and the Nasdaq Futures (/NQ) both gave us clues to expect more volatility as the day progresses. We’ll review whether or not the clues were accurate, and what actually happened as the day progressed.

In the Nasdaq, we were on our Doomsday Conservative models (which are the most conservative models we have), compare

Reviewing 3 Losers in ES, NQ and ZB for Takeaways

In today’s video, we’re going to take a look at three futures trades that were losses, to see if there are any takeaways.

We had setups in the S&P 500 (/ES), Nasdaq (/NQ) and 30-YR Bond (/ZB). However, neither of these setups worked today, which was atypical. Normally, we have an opportunity to earn back some of our losses, even on our net red days. Today, we didn’t have any such cases.

We’ll do a deeper dive into each of the three markets, and review the breach, along with the subsequent pr

Follow-Up: Nightly Trending List Trade Results

In today’s video, we’re going to review the stocks that we had in our Nightly Trending List, to see what actually happened.

Yesterday, we had 4 stocks that we thought were likely to trend for today:
CCEP, CGC, HFC, and MSI

Out of those 4 stocks, we had 3 that met our rules and triggered trade entries. These are stocks that breached the outside of the previous day’s Volatility Box clouds, and we expected either buyers or sellers to resume control.

CCEP – Triggered and was a picture perfect t

Walking Through the Nightly Trending List

In today’s video, we’ll do a walk through of our Nightly Trending List, which we send to all of our Stock Volatility Box members every night.

This list contains a group of stocks, usually 3-6, that our models suggest are likely to trend for the next day. These are stocks that have closed within our Volatility Box zones, and we expect either the buying or selling pressure to continue the next day.

Today’s List: CCEP, CGC, HFC, MIS

We’ll also layer on the Smarter Earnings Tool to use some Gap N

Using Volatility Clues to Day Trade Futures

We had our early morning volatility test give us some clues as to what to “expect” for the rest of the day.

Using our Volatility Box models, we had the 30-YR Bond (/ZB) signal to us that we should be using the Doomsday Aggressive models, while our indices all signaled that we could continue to scalp via the Scalper Volatility Box.

That was a clue – with the bonds giving us an early heads up to expect some sort of volatility in the broader markets (which we saw, in the 11-12 PM PT hour in the

Measuring Volatility Across the Week (Using Stocks)

Let’s take a look at the volatility over the span of an entire week (7/27 – 7/31), to see how volatility changes.

Using Stock VB breaches as our measure of volatility, we saw that volatility increased substantially, from Monday all the way through Friday. For example, on Monday, we saw that we had a total of 40 volatility box breach setups. On Friday, that number had increased to 157 (wow!).

In this video, we’ll dive deeper into all 4 models, along with their winning % rate, and average P/L

Trading FOMC Volatility – Futures & Stock Setups

With the FOMC event today, we saw a burst of volatility in our futures markets leading to a series of breaches in /ES, /NQ, /GC and /HG.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Copper futures trades were all winners, while the Gold trade was a loser. In today’s video, we’ll do a recap of all 5 of the trade setups that we had today, for a net P/L of +$805.

Outside of that, we’ll also talk about some swing trade setups that are still active and valid. With Powell’s remarks, we can look to take advantage of ar

Day Trading Silver Futures (/SI) and AMD

In today’s video, we’ll break down day trades in the Silver Futures market (/SI), along with AMD.

Both Silver and AMD have been on the radars of a lot of traders, especially with their recent volatility. We’ve seen momentum kick into full gear in Silver, while related markets like Gold make all time high’s.

This increased volatility is opportunity for us, as volatility traders. In Silver, we had a total of 4 trades, 3 of which were winners for a net P/L of +$3,680.l We also had 1 trade in Natu

Walking Through 10 Volatility Breaches in Futures Markets

We had more Volatility Box breaches today, than we’re typically used to seeing. Today, we had 8 out of the 10 markets we look at breach, giving us a total of 10 trade setups.

In today’s video, we’ll go through each of those 10 trade setups in slightly greater detail. While the indices all presented us with losing trades, we had other markets like Gold and Silver help make up for some of those losses.

If we had to extract 2 “takeaways” from today’s trading, those would be:
1. If you have to

Preparing for MSFT and TSLA Post-Earnings Moves

With earnings season started, we’re going to use the free Smarter Earnings indicator to show you how you can plan and prepare for likely post-earnings moves.

Download Smarter Earnings indicator (free): https://www.tosindicators.com/indicators/smarter-earnings

Starting with the Futures Volatility Box, we had two trade setups today in Gold. The first setup was a stop-out, which cost us 4.5 points per contract, and had us switch from our Aggressive Volatility Box models to our Doomsday Aggres

Post-Earnings Volatility Box Setup

With earnings activity starting to pick back up, we’ll talk about a fairly simple, yet effective setup to play post-earnings moves in your favorite stocks.

For today’s example, we’re going to use IBM, which reported before the market open (and had an earnings beat). On the beat, IBM gapped up higher, but then continued to fill its gap and trend lower for the rest of the day.

The setup comes in looking to “buy the dip” or “fade the rip” and using earnings as a catalyst for a high volatility ev

Fibonacci Levels – SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, MSFT, NFLX and CSCO

Once again, we have a nice pullback setting up in the markets, giving us some new opportunities to enter on a trend pullback.

In this video, we’re going to start by reviewing what the SPY, QQQ, DIA AND IWM are telling us, by using price action, volume and Fibs. While QQQ currently offers us the most Fibonacci-support, it’s also the most extended (duh), having reached its 1.272% extension of the Feb-March swing high to low.

We’re going to use that to dive deeper into some stocks in the Nasdaq,

Adapting to Changing Volatility Conditions

If you’re looking to trade volatility, it’s critical to have tools to very easily, but reliably measure and rank the volatility across markets, and adapt.

Today, with the Volatility Box, we had the luxury of adapting to each index market’s respective volatility — and we saw that differ across the 4 major markets.

For example, today, here were the rankings of the 9 futures markets that we look at, with their respective Volatility Box models:

ES, RTY – Scalper
NQ – Aggressive
YM – Doomsda