Futures
Morning Volatility Clues for ES, YM and RTY
In today’s video, we’re going to use our first hour Volatility Box test to find clues around what to expect for the rest of the day.
Today, we saw that the 30-YR Bond Futures (/ZB) and the Nasdaq Futures (/NQ) both gave us clues to expect more volatility as the day progresses. We’ll review whether or not the clues were accurate, and what actually happened as the day progressed.
In the Nasdaq, we were on our Doomsday Conservative models (which are the most conservative models we have), compare
Read MoreReviewing 3 Losers in ES, NQ and ZB for Takeaways
In today’s video, we’re going to take a look at three futures trades that were losses, to see if there are any takeaways.
We had setups in the S&P 500 (/ES), Nasdaq (/NQ) and 30-YR Bond (/ZB). However, neither of these setups worked today, which was atypical. Normally, we have an opportunity to earn back some of our losses, even on our net red days. Today, we didn’t have any such cases.
We’ll do a deeper dive into each of the three markets, and review the breach, along with the subsequent pr
Read MoreUsing Volatility Clues to Day Trade Futures
We had our early morning volatility test give us some clues as to what to “expect” for the rest of the day.
Using our Volatility Box models, we had the 30-YR Bond (/ZB) signal to us that we should be using the Doomsday Aggressive models, while our indices all signaled that we could continue to scalp via the Scalper Volatility Box.
That was a clue – with the bonds giving us an early heads up to expect some sort of volatility in the broader markets (which we saw, in the 11-12 PM PT hour in the
Read MoreTrading FOMC Volatility – Futures & Stock Setups
With the FOMC event today, we saw a burst of volatility in our futures markets leading to a series of breaches in /ES, /NQ, /GC and /HG.
The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Copper futures trades were all winners, while the Gold trade was a loser. In today’s video, we’ll do a recap of all 5 of the trade setups that we had today, for a net P/L of +$805.
Outside of that, we’ll also talk about some swing trade setups that are still active and valid. With Powell’s remarks, we can look to take advantage of ar
Read MoreDay Trading Silver Futures (/SI) and AMD
In today’s video, we’ll break down day trades in the Silver Futures market (/SI), along with AMD.
Both Silver and AMD have been on the radars of a lot of traders, especially with their recent volatility. We’ve seen momentum kick into full gear in Silver, while related markets like Gold make all time high’s.
This increased volatility is opportunity for us, as volatility traders. In Silver, we had a total of 4 trades, 3 of which were winners for a net P/L of +$3,680.l We also had 1 trade in Natu
Read MoreWalking Through 10 Volatility Breaches in Futures Markets
We had more Volatility Box breaches today, than we’re typically used to seeing. Today, we had 8 out of the 10 markets we look at breach, giving us a total of 10 trade setups.
In today’s video, we’ll go through each of those 10 trade setups in slightly greater detail. While the indices all presented us with losing trades, we had other markets like Gold and Silver help make up for some of those losses.
If we had to extract 2 “takeaways” from today’s trading, those would be:
1. If you have to
Preparing for MSFT and TSLA Post-Earnings Moves
With earnings season started, we’re going to use the free Smarter Earnings indicator to show you how you can plan and prepare for likely post-earnings moves.
Download Smarter Earnings indicator (free): https://www.tosindicators.com/indicators/smarter-earnings
Starting with the Futures Volatility Box, we had two trade setups today in Gold. The first setup was a stop-out, which cost us 4.5 points per contract, and had us switch from our Aggressive Volatility Box models to our Doomsday Aggres
Read MoreAdapting to Changing Volatility Conditions
If you’re looking to trade volatility, it’s critical to have tools to very easily, but reliably measure and rank the volatility across markets, and adapt.
Today, with the Volatility Box, we had the luxury of adapting to each index market’s respective volatility — and we saw that differ across the 4 major markets.
For example, today, here were the rankings of the 9 futures markets that we look at, with their respective Volatility Box models:
ES, RTY – Scalper
NQ – Aggressive
YM – Doomsda
Day Trading the Nasdaq Futures
We have a systematic process that we follow every single day, for day trading with the Volatility Box.
Using the note we sent out at 7:30 am PT to all of our members, we’ll cover the Nasdaq and Copper futures markets, where we had trade opportunities set up today.
Specifically on the Nasdaq futures (NQ), we had 3 different setups that met our Trade Plan rules, and triggered. All 3 of these were winners, for a net P/L of +$1,560.
On the Copper futures (HG), we had one trade setup which took
Read MoreFades in the YM, RTY and NG Futures
We had three markets in which we had Volatility Box breaches today – the DOW, Natural Gas and Russell futures markets.
In the morning, we sent out a note to all of our members with a list of all 9 futures markets we look at, along with the Volatility Box models we were using for the day. These models are selected based on the First Hour test, and we let price action dictate to us if and when we should switch.
We had a total of four trades that set up today:
1. A long fade in Natural Gas (win